Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Defending DeMar... again

DeMar DeRozan has been more a pleasant surprise for me through these first three games than Kyle Lowry. No, I didn't expect Lowry to shoot this well (and none of you should expect it to keep up either), but the defence and attitude were known commodities.

DeMar, on the other hand, has shown signs he is understanding his limitations as a player, and how to maximize what he does well. I've highlighted three statistical examples (let me just get this out of the way now: yes, I know we are dealing with a (very) small sample size. let's move on):

  • Rebounding: DeMar might never be a great instinctual defender, but he is athletic, and he has gotten stronger over the off-season. So, at the very least, there is no reason why he shouldn't be one of the most active rebounding guards in the league. And so far, DeRozan's career-best  rebounding rate is the fourth-best in the NBA among shooting guards (minimum 20 mins/game):
    1. Klay Thompson - 11%
    2. J.R. Smith - 10%
    3. Thabo Sefolosha - 10%
    4. DeMar DeRozan - 9%
    5. Iguodala/Bryant/Curry - 8%
  • Ballhandling: Similar to defensive instincts in basketball, passing is a similar attribute, you either have court vision, or you don't. And while I'm comfortable saying DeRozan will never have even average assist totals, he has made up for that by being very protective of the basketball. His turnover rate of 4% is a career-low, and it's third-best in the NBA among shooting guards with a usage rate above 15%.
  • Shot distribution: I've talked about this many times in the past, and it's becoming prevailing wisdom even in the mainstream media now: the long 2-point field goal is the most inefficient shot in basketball. However, that shot was one of DeRozan's favourites last season. There are signs he is learning to alter that shot chart. Last season, around 55% of DeRozan's two-point field goals were outside the paint (with the corresponding 45% inside). Through three games this season, those numbers have flipped (45% outside the paint, 55% inside), and it's resulted in a career-high true shooting percentage (59%).
DeMar DeRozan is a player with obvious limitations in his game. But when he maximizes the strong points of his game, he can be a very good player in this league (and good value at $9 million per season).

2 comments:

Raptors Devotee said...

I have not judged DeMar on his first two games after signing the contract, where he certainly was earning it, nor last night when he wasn't. The jury is still out on DeMar, but even if he hits the absolute ceiling that Colangelo envisions, the signing itself was moronic, considering it was self-inflicted for a player who still has far more questions than answers on his game.

DR said...

Demar is still crap. Just like bustnani being good (not great) at one thing doesn't make up for being bad-to-awful at everything else.